Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.115756 0.124133 0.132807 0.142467 0.152929 0.163926 0.176371
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.102912 0.115359 0.128904 0.144770 0.162884 0.182962 0.206962
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.092753 0.107073 0.123181 0.142703 0.165802 0.192358 0.225336
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.085433 0.100988 0.118960 0.141355 0.168643 0.200975 0.242426
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.078370 0.094493 0.113547 0.137852 0.168216 0.205133 0.253777
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.073375 0.090054 0.110164 0.136366 0.169847 0.211524 0.267836
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.069798 0.087068 0.108281 0.136465 0.173244 0.220041 0.284780
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.065670 0.083110 0.104888 0.134334 0.173490 0.224307 0.296128
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.062506 0.080188 0.102614 0.133440 0.175173 0.230367 0.309989
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.061591 0.080110 0.103973 0.137333 0.183332 0.245363 0.336768
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.058944 0.077589 0.101946 0.136501 0.184921 0.251340 0.351062
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.056362 0.075023 0.099717 0.135238 0.185769 0.256214 0.363881
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.053119 0.071472 0.096059 0.131903 0.183651 0.256936 0.370911
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.051966 0.070755 0.096273 0.134029 0.189434 0.269291 0.395934
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.049580 0.068198 0.093786 0.132134 0.189212 0.272750 0.407515
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047575 0.066092 0.091834 0.130898 0.189854 0.277446 0.421149
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.045103 0.063214 0.088651 0.127686 0.187339 0.277175 0.426819
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.043342 0.061294 0.086774 0.126323 0.187539 0.281020 0.439199
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.042110 0.060098 0.085898 0.126415 0.189950 0.288362 0.457594
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.040380 0.058098 0.083752 0.124460 0.189045 0.290371 0.467165
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.039058 0.056657 0.082384 0.123640 0.189875 0.295152 0.481592
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.038962 0.057055 0.083798 0.127210 0.197874 0.311914 0.517419
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.037762 0.055726 0.082518 0.126448 0.198768 0.316952 0.533011